home
ambassadors
political
consular
economic
defence
culture & press
court circuit
corps news
club news
calendar
barometer

embassy events

diplomatic list
government info
directory

partnerships

about embassy
embassy team
subscribe
advertise
sponsor
contact us

Embassy Barometer – Embassy 25 – May 2010

Who will win the UK elections?
Conservative 30%
Labour 15%
Hung Parliament 56%

Diplomats debate hung parliament

In what was the most unpredictable general election in a generation, diplomats called the election outcome, forecasting a hung parliament, with the Conservatives winning most of the seats.

According to a poll conducted by Embassy magazine, over half the respondents (56 per cent) correctly predicted that no political party will win an overall majority of seats in parliament, with 30 per cent expecting an outright Conservative victory and 15 per cent betting on Labour retaining power.

One diplomat summed up the mood of his colleagues, saying: “I think the Conservatives will win overall – in percentage terms and maybe even seats – but I wouldn’t bet a penny on it.”

Coalition building
Diplomats will now be keenly watching the ensuing debate over which party will form the next government. Constitutional convention dictates that the incumbent Labour party will have an opportunity to form a coalition government that commands the support of parliament – most likely with the Lib Dems, but many diplomats expect the size of the Tory victory will enable them rule with a minority government or with the support with one of the smaller parties, such as the Ulster Unionists.

Diplomats remain deeply divided over the impact of a hung parliament, with one European Ambassador predicting “a total disaster in the current climate” while another European Ambassador said: “Coalition governments are common in Europe and it hasn’t stopped these governments from being decisive.”

back

© Embassy Magazine | Terms and conditions | Embassy is published by Character Publishing Ltd. Registered in England No.5295760